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    攻势已趋缓,短线防回探!

        今日两市股指小幅走高,创业板股票也如预计反弹,只是在时间上提前了两个小时。上指高开5点于3119,随后围绕昨天收盘位震荡,下午最高打到3141后快速回档,14点过后再度拉起,最终收一颗小阳类十字星。全天最低3096,最高3141,报收3128,涨14点,涨幅0.46%,成交16137万手,1669亿元。成指高开26点于12886,报12931,涨71点,涨幅0.55%,成交1184亿元。深综指开盘1105,报收1112,涨8点,涨幅0.73%。沪市上涨567家,下跌310家;深市上涨568家,下跌275家。个股涨多跌少,其中涨停18家,没有10%跌停股票。板块中物联网表现最强,地产股仍遭打压,多方总体还是稍占上风。
     
        从K线看,上指是根下影略长于上影的小阳类十字星,多空争斗激烈,攻势有趋缓迹象。从交易额看,两市合计2853亿元,比上日减少97亿,减幅为3%。价涨量减,虽减幅不大,但推高动力有所减弱。从均线看,5日线继续回升,即将上穿10日线。而6日乖离率+2.54,略微缩小,但偏离度还不是太大。从其他指标看,KDJ仍在上行,J值97.15,接近触顶。RSI缓慢推升,但上行态势暂未改变。MACD开口微张,红柱伸长,趋势依旧向上。五大龙头三红一平一绿,工行整固,万科仍在调整,但整体还算平稳。从趋势看,中期调整初显结束迹象,而短期处在比较微妙的变盘时刻,但上下空间一时都不太大。
       
        综上所述,今天上指小涨收阳,与《操盘必读》中所预计的“看平偏多”基本吻合。而上指最高3141,离第一阻力3145也只相差4点。今天这颗阳星是上升中继还是下跌换档,的确不好武断。从最近三天的走势看,三根阳线实体逐步缩小,说明上方压力正在不断加大;但由于KDJ指标逼近强势区,且J值还没触顶,因此即使回探,短线幅度也不会太深,估计在3075附近就能撑住。何况,还不能排除延续反弹的可能性。明天上档阻力3155,强阻力3175,下档支撑3095,强支撑3075。风险指数中等偏高,保持6级不变。操作上,中线筹码仍可守仓观望,不必太在意一时震荡,而短线炒作伺机而动。

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